You Tell Me What This Picture Says …

May 24, 2009 by · Leave a Comment
Filed under: Foreign Policy, National Security 

25iranxlarge1Karzai – Was weak, still weak looking for Zalmay to come babysit.  Had the right idea when he was against “warlordism.”

Zardari – Mr. 10% available anywhere, anytime except in his own country which is in a state of veritable civil war — how much time has he spent away from the levers of power since the Swat campaign began?  Guess who’s in charge in Pakistan: Still the Army.

Ahmadinejad – He’s saying, “Look at me Bibi! Here’s my brother who already has nukes … Suck It.”

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Video – Pervez Musharraf Interviewed by Fareed Zakaria

May 17, 2009 by · Leave a Comment
Filed under: Foreign Policy, National Security 

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Video: Zardari and Karzai on Defeating the Taliban – Charlie Rose Show

May 12, 2009 by · Leave a Comment
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Missed this last week – worth a watch if you’re monitoring the mess that is Af-Pak.

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Transcript: Presidents Zardari & Karzai Interviews on Meet the Press, May 10, 2009

May 10, 2009 by · Leave a Comment
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(Source: NBC’s Meet the Press)

MR. DAVID GREGORY (HOST):  … But first, the presidents of Pakistan and Afghanistan. I sat down with both leaders earlier this week after their White House meetings. Pakistan’s President Zardari, in office for the last eight months, is the widower of slain Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto. I began by asking about the Taliban and whether he agrees with the Obama administration that the group represents an existential threat to his country.

MR. ASIF ALI ZARDARI: No, I consider the philosophy of Taliban as threat to the world, not just to Pakistan and your country, but I feel it’s a larger threat.

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Transcript: Natl Security Advisor Gen. James Jones, Presidents Meetings with Afghan, Pak Presidents

May 6, 2009 by · Leave a Comment
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MR. GIBBS: Here for the p.m. edition of the White House briefing.

Q Make this a habit.

MR. GIBBS: Yes — keep you guys busy.
The President has obviously concluded the meetings with President Karzai and President Zardari. And as promised, we’ll give a — get a readout from General Jones, the President’s National Security Advisor.

General.

GENERAL JONES: Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. I’m pleased to be here to talk a little bit about the meetings that were held this afternoon that you’ve already heard quite a bit about. I’d just like to add a couple of points to those that have been already been made.

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Ahmadinejad Continues to Give U.S. Back of Hand, Israel Worse

May 5, 2009 by · 1 Comment
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dumbassSome say don’t think all Iranians believe what they’re president says — the Iranian people love America.  It’s just that nasty little brute of a president they’ve got runs his mouth.

Well folks, as an American who “loves” other countries and their people, I know we all got the ultimate bad rap for around six of Bush’s years.  The reason why of course is that leaders matter, especially when they’re elected by the people.  Leaders make decisions and carry out policies that affect people outside of their own borders.

The Iranians have an opportunity to send Mahmoud Ahmadinejad back under a rock in a few weeks.  If they don’t, he’s still speaking for all of them.  We had the same opportunity in 2004.  Let me just say to my Iranian friends tonight: If you vote this guy back in, things can get worse.

At any rate here’s what Ahmadinejad had to say today, courtesy of AFP:

On the United States:

Ahmadinejad, whose visit to Damascus came as Defence Secretary Robert Gates toured US allies in the region to reassure them about overtures to the Tehran regime by President Barack Obama, hit out at the continuing US military presence on Iran’s borders.

“They weren’t invited in. They’re unwelcome visitors who should leave Afghanistan and the borders of Pakistan,” the Iranian president said.

“We don’t want honey from bees that sting us. Efforts must be made to rid the region of the presence of foreigners… and to reform the unjust global political and economic system.”

Ahmadinejad said Iran and Syria were standing together to “resist foreign intervention and the major powers trying to impose their hegemony over the region.”

The United States “has put pressure on Syria and Iran, but it needs us and wants to develop relations,” he said.

On Israel:

Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad slammed Zionism as “occupation” and “aggression” Tuesday as he delivered his latest diatribe against the Jewish state on a visit to key Middle East ally Syria.
“The Zionist occupiers are destructive microbes, because Zionism itself is occupation, aggression, the use of assassination and annihilation,” he told a joint news conference with President Bashar al-Assad in the Syrian capital.

“Zionism was created to threaten us. To support the Palestinian resistance is a humanitarian and popular obligation,” Ahmadinejad said in remarks in Farsi that were translated into Arabic.

“Syria and Iran are united in supporting the Palestinian resistance.”

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Obama Administration Preps for ‘Come to Mohammed’ Meeting with Afghan, Pak Leaders

May 4, 2009 by · 1 Comment
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z500Could a storyline leaked to the New York Times’ front page on Monday signal an end to America’s codependence on an untrustworthy Pakistan?

Despite the erratic behavior of the Pervez Musharraf government for most of George W. Bush’s presidency, of the Big Worry — Pakistan’s nukes — we were always told, no problem.  I can remember Pentagon and Bush Administration officials speaking cryptically of fail-safe mechanisms which would keep the weapons or nuclear material from ever falling into the wrong hands.

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Pakistani Writer Says Taliban Should Face “Full Might of the State”

May 1, 2009 by · 1 Comment
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talitruckThe world is reminded tonight, by a column written by I.A. Rehman for Dawn, that Pakistan is a large moslem country with a divergence of opinion on what Shari’a law means and what the Taliban really have to offer.  So often in the U.S. media we see images of three things in Pakistan:

  • Islamic extremists (Taliban, Terrorists, Etc)
  • Poor people depicted as simple and helpless or violent and lawless
  • The corrupt Pakistani military and polity.

Just like in our own coverage of ourselves, we see the extremes.

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Transcript: President Barack Obama Press Conference, First 100 Days, April 29

April 29, 2009 by · Leave a Comment
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(Source: CNN)

President Obama: Please, be seated. Before we begin tonight, I just want to provide everyone with a few brief updates on some of the challenges we’re dealing with right now.

First, we are continuing to closely monitor the emergency cases of the H1N1 flu virus throughout the United States. As I said this morning, this is obviously a very serious situation, and every American should know that their entire government is taking the utmost precautions and preparations.

Our public health officials have recommended that schools with confirmed or suspected cases of this flu strongly consider temporarily closing. And if more schools are forced to close, we’ve recommended that both parents and businesses think about contingency plans if their children do have to stay home.

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Video: This is Who We Would Negotiate With? Taliban Executes Man & Woman for Adultery

April 27, 2009 by · Leave a Comment
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This video was shot in Pakistan, a country we’ve paid around $10 billion since 9/11.  Not another unaccounted for dime to the Pakistani government who can’t control immense areas within its own borders.

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Hillary Wears the Pants in the Obama Family When it Comes to Pakistan

April 22, 2009 by · Leave a Comment
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Hopefully today’s remarks by Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton tell more about the state of mind in the Obama Administration regarding Pakistan than the President’s earlier hints that the U.S. may negotiate with elements of the Taliban.

From the New York Times coverage Clinton’s appearance before the House Committee on Foreign Affairs:

… “I think that the Pakistani government is basically abdicating to the Taliban and to the extremists,” Mrs. Clinton told the House Foreign Affairs Committee as she responded to questions on an array of topics. …

… Moreover, Mrs. Clinton said, the deterioration of security in nuclear-armed Pakistan “poses a mortal threat to the security and safety of our country and the world.”

After accusing the Pakistani government of caving in to the Taliban, Mrs. Clinton went on in more scathing detail. “If you talk to people in Pakistan, especially in the ungoverned territories, which are increasing in number, they don’t believe the state has a judiciary system that works,” she said.

“It’s corrupt, it doesn’t extend its power into the countryside. So the government of Pakistan, however it is constituted, which is of course their business, not ours, must begin to deliver government services.”

Otherwise Ms. Clinton warned, “they are going to lose out to those who show up and claim that they can solve people’s problems, and then they will impose this harsh form of oppression on women and others.”

Secretary Clinton is hitting the nail squarely on the head.  A Frontline World documentary last week told a gripping tale of the Taliban’s growing influence outside Pakistan’s Northwest Territories and Federally Administered Tribal Areas.  Earlier this month, Pakistani President Asaf Zardari essentially ceded control of the Swat Valley to the Taliban in order to get the Islamic extremists to cease violent raids in the area.  Radical clerics in Pakistan are already exhorting their followers that Swat is only the beginning.

I don’t know what the answer is, but I know negotiating with the Taliban – a la Zardari – is not the answer.  Going from backwater Afghanistan under Taliban control to nuclear Pakistan under their thumb is not progress.

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Negotiating With Taliban Will Do More Harm Than Good

April 18, 2009 by · 1 Comment
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From the moment I heard that President Barack Obama is thinking he may be able to treat the Taliban like the U.S. handled Sunni shaikhs and tribal elders in Iraq, I didn’t like it.

Many Sunnis in Iraq were not long-time sympathizers with the likes of al-Qaeda and its twisted view of Islam and nihilistic world view.  Sure, many of them threw in their lot with al-Qaeda in Iraq, but at the time I believe that was perhaps an action rooted in self preservation.  The U.S. took out the despotic Saddam Hussein regime and in the process created a vacuum where the Shia majority began having its way with the Sunni minority.  It was retribution in large part for the Sunni’s own political subjugation of the Shia and Kurds for decades.  By the time of the “Surge” and General David Petraeus’ more effective counter-insurgency tactics, the Iraqi Sunni flirtation with al-Qaeda was already losing steam.  Many of the tribal elders were ready to work with U.S. military and civilian leaders to rid themselves of the terrorists. Again, these Sunnis could perhaps be described as more passionate about their tribal affiliations and regionalism than to the specific Islamic theology which al-Qaeda bases its terror campaigns on.

The Taliban are altogether different.  The Taliban actually ran their own state for a time according to a fundamentalist view of Islam and Shari’a laws which forbid the participation of women and girls in society, outlawed cultural expression, and turned education into the madrasa system where boys learn little more than rote memorization of the Koran and are programmed for violent jihad.  There were public executions for those who did not conform and rape and pillage tactics used to spread their “government” throughout Afghanistan.

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Obama Admin Pakistan Adviser Says Country Could Unwind in “Months”

April 13, 2009 by · Leave a Comment
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From the Sydney Morning Herald:

… “We have to face the fact that if Pakistan collapses it will dwarf anything we have seen so far in whatever we’re calling the war on terror now,” said David Kilcullen, a former Australian Army officer who was a specialist adviser for the Bush administration and is now a consultant to the Obama White House. …

… “In Afghanistan, it’s easy to understand, difficult to execute. But in Pakistan, it is very difficult to understand and it’s extremely difficult for us to generate any leverage, because Pakistan does not want our help.

“In a sense there is no Pakistan – no single set of opinion. Pakistan has a military and intelligence establishment that refuses to follow the directions of its civilian leadership. They have a tradition of using regional extremist groups as unconventional counterweights against India’s regional influence.” …

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Pakistan Still the Land of Dissembling When Americans Come Calling

April 11, 2009 by · Leave a Comment
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I’m reading David Sanger’s book, The Inheritance.  It’s a great read that outlines some of the thorniest foreign policy issues facing the new Obama Administration.  It tracks the Bush Administration’s policies or policy vacuums regarding places like North Korea, Iraq, Afghanistan and Pakistan.

pervez-musharafSanger discusses the approximately $10 billion in funds that the U.S. has funneled into Pakistan since 9/11 and the high probability that some of it has probably been used against us, while still more of it has been simply wasted through corruption or in building up Pakistan’s Indian-facing military forces.  Over and over during the Bush years, Presidents Pervez Musharaf and Bush publicly proclaimed their mutual admiration.  On Bush’s end it was wishful thinking – we need the Pakistanis to help fight the Taliban and al-Qaeda.  As for Mr. Musharaf it was all about making and closing every sale, that is, ensuring the steady flow of greenbacks to prop up his ailing government and economy.

Sanger also recounts a steady procession of U.S. military, intelligence and diplomatic officials streaming in and out of Islamabad, sometimes there to deliver strong messages akin to, “We know you can do better with the nutjobs in the Federally Administered Tribal Areas” (also known as the “in” destination for Taliban and terrorists).  Musharaf or his generals or ISI spooks would shrug and smile.  Sometimes there would be genuine surprise at some intel being brought to them by their American Sugar Daddies.  Shortly thereafter there might be a few radical teenagers plucked from a Madrassa and held for a time.

asif-ali-zardari1On Friday, David Ignatius writes in the Washington Post from Islamabad chronicling yet another U.S. administration and yet still another military/diplomatic delegation who are now speaking to Musharaf’s successor, Asif Ali Zardari.  From Ignatius’ column, it sounds like things haven’t changed much in Pakistan:

Later that day, Zardari met us at his office overlooking the city. He was convincing when he discussed the legacy of his late wife, Benazir Bhutto, who was killed in December 2007 by what he called the “cancer” of Muslim terrorism. But on some major security and intelligence issues, he claimed no knowledge or sought to shift blame to others, and the overall impression was of an accidental president who still has an uncertain grasp on power.

Sanger’s tale of Bush and Musharaf is still fresh in my mind.  It sounds like the faces have changed on both sides of this relationship but the reality hasn’t.

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Pakistani Taliban Leader Threatens Attack on Washington That Would “Amaze Everyone”

March 31, 2009 by · Leave a Comment
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Somehow I don’t think this is very likely, but here goes from the Times of London:

Baitullah Mehsud, the leader of the Pakistani Taleban, threatened yesterday to launch an attack on Washington that would “amaze everyone in the world” as he claimed responsibility for the raid on a police academy in Lahore and boasted of a new regional militant alliance.

Mr Mehsud, for whom the United States offered a $5 million reward last week, said that Monday’s raid, which killed seven police officers, was retaliation for US drone attacks on Pakistan’s northern tribal areas, now the main hub of Taleban and al-Qaeda activity.

The 35-year-old leader of Tehrik-e-Taleban Pakistan (Movement of Taleban Pakistan), made the claims after taking the highly unusual step of telephoning Western news organisations from an undisclosed location.

“We wholeheartedly take responsibility for this attack and will carry out more such attacks in future,” he said.

“Soon we will launch an attack in Washington that will amaze everyone in the world … The maximum they can do is martyr me. But we will exact our revenge on them from inside America.”

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Mexico Shows Gratitude to U.S. by Forcing Job Losses in Ohio

March 30, 2009 by · Leave a Comment
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Does anyone else feel like we’re all getting AIG’d?  Lately, it seems like every time Uncle Sam opens his wallet to help out some struggling member of the family, that member of the family forgets to say thank-you.  Or, worse yet, it’s like catching a trusted friend or relative stealing from you to go out and get high.

From the Columbus Dispatch this morning:

For 1,400 employees of a Chillicothe paper mill, there couldn’t be a worse time to become caught up in an international trade fight.

The plant on S. Paint Street generates $338 million in annual sales of carbonless paper, a sizable chunk of which is bought by Mexican customers.

But just a couple of months after the economic slump sparked layoffs of about 50 people there, a new threat has emerged: a 10 percent tariff slapped on imports of U.S. carbonless paper by the government of Mexico. It’s retaliation for Congress’ shutting down a pilot program allowing Mexican trucks to operate in the United States.

The Dispatch further reports that the Mexican carbonless paper tariff is just one of many affecting about $2.4 billion in U.S. commercial activity with Mexico.  Just last week, President Barack Obama talked about the $700 million in aid the U.S. is pledging to Mexico this year to help their central government in its fight against drug cartels.

When do we start attaching strings to the public’s money being invested in everything from bank bailouts to foreign countries?  Also last week, the Obama Administration announced its support for an aid package to Pakistan that would send $1.5 billion a year there, each year for five years.  The same week, we get more confirmation that the Pakistani military intelligence force, ISI, has been aiding and abetting the Taliban and al-Qaeda organizations we’ve been at war with for seven years.

This may sound like the rantings of a guy who wishes we weren’t investing public funds anywhere.  Actually, I’m glad we’re amping up our efforts to help the Mexicans, their problems are spilling over into our country.  I’m glad we’re willing to help a country like Pakistan, I just don’t want to see more good money go after bad.  I want to see accountability and outcomes for the taxpayer money spent here and abroad.  I don’t want to give a dime in aid to anyone, any entity or any country who will turn around and bite the hand that feeds.  It’s that simple.

My hypersensitivity to government outlays for all manner of bailouts and aid is a direct result of the U.S. financial crisis.  If you count “guarantees” made by the Federal Reserve, we are trillions of dollars down the rabbit hole with Wall Street and their ilk.  In all of this economic mess can anyone point to one politician or captain of finance who has taken accountability?

If we’re not creating a new program to keep the well-heeled investors on Wall Street whole, we’re shoveling money at countries like Pakistan and Mexico who give us the back of their hand.  This makes me sick as I read about U.S. factory workers getting pink slips.

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Pakistani Aid Won’t Disappear Down Rat Hole This Time: Obama Administration

March 27, 2009 by · Leave a Comment
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Encouraging stance on the aid we give to Pakistan.  It’s been well-documented that much of the billions which have been directed to Pakistan since 9/11 has disappeared down a rat hole.  In a briefing today in Washington, President Obama’s point man on Afghan-Pak policy, Bruce Riedel, said that U.S. funds will be more closely monitored this time:

Q    Thank you.  The President mentioned the Kerry-Lugar bill, billions of dollars’ worth of aid to Pakistan.  He also said that Pakistan won’t be given a blank check.  So I’m wondering what restrictions does the administration want to see on that money specifically?

And also, how do you react to statements from some senators, such as Senator Levin, who have said that this strategy places too much dependence on the Pakistani government to deal with extremists, and perhaps gives too much of a reliance on them to help us make progress in Afghanistan?

MR. RIEDEL:  I’m not going to comment on Senator Levin’s remarks.  I’ll say this:  For the last eight years, Pakistan received billions of dollars in support from the United States — much of it was unaccountable; much the Pakistanis don’t even know where it went.

As the President indicated in his speech, we’re going to make sure that there is rigorous oversight by an Inspector General’s office.  And we’re going to work very, very intensively with our Pakistani partners, the democratically elected civilian leadership in Pakistan, to see that we’re moving in the right direction, in the same direction that we want to go.

(Source: White House Transcript)

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Full Text: Obama Remarks on New Strategy for Afghanistan, Pakistan

March 27, 2009 by · Leave a Comment
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(Source: New York Times)

Good morning. Today, I am announcing a comprehensive, new strategy for Afghanistan and Pakistan.

This marks the conclusion of a careful policy review that I ordered as soon as I took office. My Administration has heard from our military commanders and diplomats. We have consulted with the Afghan and Pakistani governments; with our partners and NATO allies; and with other donors and international organizations. And we have also worked closely with members of Congress here at home. Now, I’d like to speak clearly and candidly to the American people.

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Video: President Obama Talks About New Afghan Policy – To Terrorists: ‘We Will Defeat You’

March 27, 2009 by · Leave a Comment
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Some U.S. Officials Stating the Obvious: Pakistani ISI Aiding Taliban

March 25, 2009 by · Leave a Comment
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This article on the NYT website just adds to the volumes of publicly available information about the ties between Islamic radicals in Afghanistan and Pakistan and the Pakistani military intelligence service, ISI.

It’s really quite incredible that President Barack Obama believes that the Taliban or any other tribal, fundamentalist Islamist can be negotiated with in good faith in this part of the world.  These people have been playing one end against the other since the 1980s.  The United States is going to be punkd if we do anything other than meet barbarism with force in this region.

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